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hedge project - updates
Core Strategy: My Adapted “Initial Move” System Thursday 4/02/2026 03:03:00 PM GMT+03:00

  Everything I do comes straight from David Bennett’s Day Trading Grain Futures — my absolute gold standard. I’ve taken that same logic and applied it across asset classes without overcomplicating things.

    Session open bias  The first 5-15 minutes set the tone for me every single day.
    In grains and index futures it’s the regular market open. On ETH perps it’s the US session start (around 13:30 UTC / 15:30 my time) when volume really kicks in.
    Price above the open or initial high = I’m looking for longs.
    Price below = I’m looking for shorts.
    Zone mapping  I rely on the early-session highs and lows plus Volume Profile (VPVR) for POC, value areas, and imbalances. My charts are clean — you’ll always see VPVR front and center because it’s that important to me.
    Setups (only in the direction of bias)
    Breakouts of the session highs/lows, bounces off support/resistance or value-area edges, and clear bullish/bearish imbalances.
    I almost never take counter-trend trades unless the reversal evidence is screaming at me.
    Timeframes  Strictly 5- and 15-minute charts.
    Exits — Minimum 1:2 to 1:3 reward-to-risk. I scale out partially (take +1R, trail the rest) and move my stop to breakeven aggressively once I’m up $50 or +1R. On ETH I have a hard time filter — I’m usually flat by 19:00 my time if momentum dies.

I treat futures like a craft. Options feel more like art to me, and prediction markets are basically pure betting. My edge is repetition, not prediction.
The Markets I Actually Trade
Asset Class
    
Examples
    
How I Approach It
Grain / Ag Futures
    
Corn ($ZC), Wheat ($ZW), Soybeans ($ZS)
    
My original love -- slow-paced, trendy, and predictable. I even follow the physical side (ploughed fields, yield forecasts, the whole thing).
Index Micros
    
Micro E-mini S&P ($MES), Micro E-mini Dow ($MYM)
    
Fast scalps right at the open, breakouts, and imbalances. Volatility is higher so stops need more room.
Crypto Perps
    
ETH (mainly), with BTC correlation
    
Same exact system, just adapted to 24/7. I watch funding rates and BTC correlation closely. You’ll see me shorting ETH a lot in the journal.
I do hold some longer-term crypto convictions (BTC as long-term storage, ETH for actual use), but my active trading is 100 % intraday -- no overnight holds, ever.
Risk Management (This Is My Real Edge)

    Per-trade risk is 0.5-1 % of my account max. I calculate position size from the exact stop distance before I click a single order.
    Daily loss limit: I stop after two losers or roughly 2–3R total drawdown. No exceptions.
    Stops are non-negotiable and I cut losers immediately.
    Leverage stays conservative - 5–10× max on crypto so I never flirt with liquidation.
    Journaling is sacred. Every trade gets reviewed. Pre-session prep and post-session notes happen without fail.
    Psychology-wise I keep coming back to The Mental Game of Trading. Patience is literally everything (“the waiting game” is my desktop wallpaper for a reason). I trade from a desktop only -- no phone execution, ever.

My Tools & Setup

    Kraken Pro for ETH perps (VPVR, order book, hotkeys, built-in position calculator).
    Optimus Flow for traditional futures (DOM, chart-based orders, clean volume profile).
    I hammer demo/sim accounts for practice and back-testing — I’ve run 50+ ETH US sessions just to stay sharp.

How I See It Overall
This is a simple, rule-based, discretionary system that’s repeatable by design. I wait for the market to declare its bias, then I ride the imbalance with volume-profile context and iron-clad risk rules. No cluttered charts, no revenge trading, no hype.The strengths are obvious to me: the system is clear, the risk discipline is tight, and I’ve successfully ported grain-futures logic into volatile ETH perps while adjusting for funding and session timing. The journal keeps me honest.The risks are real too. Discretionary bias reading can make me hesitate in chop (I call myself out publicly when that happens -- “remind me not trading this market”). Crypto volatility is a different beast than grains, so the same R:R targets demand tighter execution. And because I size small and risk tiny percentages, compounding takes time — but that’s exactly how I like it.At the end of the day I’m a patient, high-probability, session-timed day trader. I do fewer things better, stay self-funded, and keep the whole thing punk/anarchist in spirit: low-key, anti-hype, and 100 % my own work.That’s the system. If you’ve been following the journal you’ve already seen it in action.



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